The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable
Autor : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Género : Libros, Sociedad y ciencias sociales, Psicología,
Leer : 3978
Descargar : 3315
Tamaño de archivo : 22.03 MB
Formato : PDF, ePub
Reseña del editor What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', 'The Black Swan' shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.